Despite HBO’s eighth season of its hit series, Game of Thrones, being a good year off, loyal fans, hungry to theorize the fates of its most poignant characters continue to throw out conspiracies left, right, and centre.

Although we have seen some pretty crazy theories since season 8 was confirmed, none have quite measured up to the mathematical stability of the following. Stewed up by data scientist, Taylor Larkin, we now know, with relative accuracy, the death probability of 10 key characters.

To do so, Larkin created an algorithm from a plethora of data, including qualitative readings pulled from the fan-created Game of Thrones Wiki page, to studying over 2,000 living and dead characters from George R. R. Martin’s A Song of Ice and Fire, as well as external variables such as gender, age, family lineage, and so forth.

The results read as following:

Daenerys Targaryen – 83.77% chance of death Jaime Lannister – 72.91% chance of death Tyrion Lannister – 70.76% chance of death Bran Stark – 66.02% chance of death Cersei Lannister – 60.39% chance of death Jon Snow – 58.99% chance of death Euron Greyjoy – 54.95% chance of death Sansa Stark – 50.28% chance of death Arya Stark – 49.04% chance of death Gendry – 39.87% chance of death

Let us know if you think any of the above are accurate in the comment section following.

In other such news, this YouTube video just revealed a list of the superheroes expected to appear in ‘Avengers 4.’